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Binomial estimation

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Tutor: Dylan

Summary

Binomial estimation

In a nutshell

When tt is a value between 00​ and 11​, large powers of tt become so small that they can be effectively treated like 00. Using the binomial expansion formula, this allows you to make quick yet accurate approximations of functions or constants.



Example 1

In ascending powers of tt​, work out the first four terms of the expansion of (1t5)12\left(1-\dfrac{t}{5}\right)^{12}​and use this to approximate the value of (0.96)12(0.96)^{12} to 22 decimal places.


Use the general terms of the binomial expansion formula to get:


(1t5)12=(120)(t5)0+(121)(t5)+(122)(t5)2+(123)(t5)3+=1125t+6625t24425t3+\begin{aligned}(1-\dfrac{t}{5})^{12} &=\binom{12}{0}\left(-\dfrac{t}{5}\right)^0 + \binom{12}{1}\left(-\dfrac{t}{5}\right) + \binom{12}{2}\left(-\dfrac{t}{5}\right)^2 + \binom{12}{3}\left(-\dfrac{t}{5}\right)^3 + \dots \\&= 1 - \dfrac{12}{5}t + \dfrac{66}{25}t^2 - \dfrac{44}{25}t^3 + \dots\end{aligned}​​


The term inside the brackets is 0.960.96, so solve (1t5)=0.96\left(1 - \dfrac{t}{5}\right) = 0.96 for tt:

(1t5)=0.96t=15\begin{aligned}\left(1-\dfrac{t}{5}\right) &= 0.96 \\t &= \dfrac{1}{5}\end{aligned}​​


Substitute t=15t = \dfrac{1}{5} into the first four terms of the expansion you computed:

(1t5)12=1125×15+6625(15)24425(15)3=0.61152\begin{aligned}(1 - \dfrac{t}{5})^{12} &= 1 - \dfrac{12}{5}\times \dfrac{1}{5} + \dfrac{66}{25}\left(\dfrac{1}{5}\right)^2 - \dfrac{44}{25}\left(\dfrac{1}{5}\right)^3 \\&= 0.61152\end{aligned}​​


So (0.96)12(0.96)^{12} is equal to 0.610.61 to 22 decimal places. In fact, (0.96)12=0.6127(0.96)^{12} = 0.6127 \dots, so the approximation is valid to 22 places.


Therefore, the approximation is given by 0.61\underline{0.61}.


Example 2

Supposing that tt is sufficiently small that terms of degree 44​ or higher are negligible, show that (1t2)(45t)510246400t+14976t213600t3(1-t^2)(4-5t)^5 \approx 1024 - 6400t + 14976t^2 -13600t^3.


Use the binomial expansion formula to expand (45t)5(4-5t)^5 up to the t3t^3 term (as higher terms can be ignored).

(45t)5(50)45+(51)44(5t)+(52)43(5t)2+(53)42(5t)310246400t+16000t220000t3\begin{aligned}(4-5t)^5 &\approx \binom{5}{0}4^5 + \binom{5}{1}4^4(-5t) + \binom{5}{2}4^3(-5t)^2 + \binom{5}{3}4^2(-5t)^3 \\&\approx 1024 - 6400t + 16000t^2 - 20000t^3\end{aligned}​​


Multiply this by (1t2)(1-t^2), and set the terms of degree 44 or higher equal to 00:

(1t2)(10246400t+16000t220000t3)=10246400t+14976t213600t316000t4+20000t510246400t+14976t213600t3\begin{aligned}(1-t^2)(1024 - 6400t + 16000t^2 - 20000t^3) &= 1024 -6400t + 14976t^2 - 13600t^3 -16000t^4 + 20000t^5 \\&\approx 1024 - 6400t + 14976t^2 - 13600t^3\end{aligned}​​


Therefore, (1t2)(45t)510246400t+14976t213600t3\underline{(1-t^2)(4-5t)^5 \approx 1024 - 6400t + 14976t^2 - 13600t^3}.


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