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Probability distributions

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Tutor: Bilal

Summary

Probability distributions

​​In a nutshell

Probability distributions are often used to describe the different probabilities for a certain event. The discrete uniform distribution is a specific example of a probability distribution that has many applications.



Definitions

Here are a list of definitions you should know relating to probability distributions.


NAME

DEFINITION

Random variable

A random variable is an event that has a random outcome. It is represented with an uppercase letter. A specific outcome is represented with a lowercase letter.

Sample space

The sample space of a random variable is the set of values that the variable can take.

Discrete

A random variable is discrete if it only takes specific values.



Representing probability distributions

The two main ways to represent a discrete probability distribution are a probability mass function and a table.


Example 1

The result of a fair six-sided die is represented with a random variable, XX. Represent the distribution of XX.


First, identify the outcomes and probabilities.

A fair die will land on the numbers 1,2,3,4,5,61,2,3,4,5,6 with an equal probability of 16\dfrac{1}{6}.


Represent the probabilities using a function:

P(X=x)=16, x{1,2,3,4,5,6}P(X=x)=\dfrac{1}{6},\space x\in \{1,2,3,4,5,6\}​​


As a table:

xx​​

11​​

22​​

33​​

44​​

55​​

66​​

P(X=x)P(X=x)​​

16\dfrac{1}{6}​​

16\dfrac{1}{6}​​

16\dfrac{1}{6}​​

16\dfrac{1}{6}​​

16\dfrac{1}{6}​​

16\dfrac16​​


Note: The notation P(X=x)P(X=x) means "the probability that the random variable XX takes the specific outcome xx". It is also correct to write x=1,2,3,4,5,6x=1,2,3,4,5,6 instead of x={1,2,3,4,5,6}x=\{1,2,3,4,5,6\}.


The discrete uniform distribution

The discrete uniform distribution is a specific distribution that only takes certain values and every single probability is the same. The random variable XX in the example above is an example of a discrete uniform distribution.



Probability distribution problems

Sum of probabilities

When solving problems involving a probability distribution, you may have to use the fact that probabilities always add up to 11. With the notation used, this can be written as:


xP(X=x)=1\boxed{\sum_{x}{P(X=x)}=1}​​


Example 2

The probability mass function representing a random variable XX is given to be:

P(X=x)=kx, x{1,2,3}P(X=x)=kx,\space x\in \{1,2,3\}


Find the value of kk.


First, find out all of the probabilities:

P(X=1)=k(1)=kP(X=2)=k(2)=2kP(X=3)=k(3)=3kP(X=1)=k(1)=k\\P(X=2)=k(2)=2k\\P(X=3)=k(3)=3k​​


Then, use the fact that the probabilities add up to 11 to form an equation in kk:

k+2k+3k=16k=1k=16k+2k+3k=1\\6k=1\\\underline{k=\dfrac{1}{6}}​​


Inequalities

You may be asked to find the probability that a random variable satisfies a given inequality. To approach these questions, think about which specific outcomes satisfy the inequality and add them up.


Example 3

Using the probability distribution in the above example, find P(0.5X<3)P(0.5\le X<3).


Find out which outcomes satisfy the inequality.

The only values that satisfy 0.5X<30.5\le X < 3 are X=1X=1 and X=2X=2.


Add up the probabilities:

P(0.5X<3)=P(X=1)+P(X=2)=k+2k=3k=3(16)=12\begin{aligned}P(0.5\le X< 3)&=P(X=1)+P(X=2)\\&=k+2k\\&=3k\\&=3(\dfrac{1}{6})\\&=\dfrac{1}{2}\end{aligned}​​


P(0.5X<3)=12\underline{P(0.5\le X < 3) = \dfrac{1}{2}}​​


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Exercises

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FAQs - Frequently Asked Questions

What is a discrete uniform distribution?

What is the sample space of a random variable?

What are probability distributions used for?

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